What Falling Estimates & Price Mean for Resolute Forest Products – Tale of the Tape

June 3, 2015

By: Nasdaq

Similar to wise buying decisions, exiting certain underperformers at the right time helps maximize portfolio returns. Selling off losers can be difficult, but if both the share price and estimates are falling, it could be time to get rid of the security before more losses hit your portfolio.

One such stock that you may want to consider dropping is Resolute Forest Products Inc. (RFP), which has witnessed a significant price decline in the past four weeks, and it has seen negative earnings estimate revisions for the current quarter and the current year. A Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) further confirms weakness in RFP.

A key reason for this move has been the negative trend in earnings estimate revisions. For the full year, we have seen 1 estimate moving down in the past 30 days, compared with no upward revisions. This trend has caused the consensus estimate to trend lower, going from earnings of 75 cents a share a month ago to a current loss of 10 cents.

Also, for the current quarter, Resolute Forest Products has seen 2 downward estimate revisions versus no revisions in the opposite direction, dragging the consensus estimate down to a loss of 9 cents a share from a profit of 11 cents over the past 30 days.

The stock also has seen some pretty dismal trading lately, as the share price has dropped 22.5% in the past month.

So it may not be a good decision to keep this stock in your portfolio anymore, at least if you don’t have a long time horizon to wait.

If you are still interested in the paper and paper products space, you may instead consider a better-ranked stock – Fibria Celulose SA (FBR). The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) and may be better selection at this time.

By: Nasdaq

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