Pandemic delivers shock to global energy system  

June 22, 2020

By: The Working Forest Staff

It is now clear that the COVID-19 pandemic will have a fundamental impact on the world’s energy systems and on the pace and direction of the global transition. Dramatic cuts in spending and a reallocation of funds into digital solutions and environmental sustainability are among some of the most significant changes likely to emerge as a result of the crisis. These findings emerged from the World Energy Council’s global survey of its extensive network of energy leaders and experts in 61 countries.

The energy industry was under strain even before the pandemic, which exacerbated these weaknesses and led to the biggest ever decline in energy demand and sharply lower oil and gas prices.

The latest findings from these global surveys indicate that COVID-19 is driving a historic reallocation of investment which will impact future energy developments. The World Energy Council has also identified a three-stage model being adopted by energy companies in response to the COVID-crisis: Respond-Rebuild-Recreate. The findings indicate that some energy firms are already entering the Rebuild stage and re-allocating capital and resources. 

Key findings from the survey which gathered responses from 225 energy experts in 61 countries across six continents include:

  1. A third of energy companies plan to shed jobs. This might mean 350,000 jobs at risk across the G7 economies.
    • 1-in-3 plan to shut one or more business units in response to the conditions caused by the pandemic.
  2. Four out of five energy businesses plan drastic cost reductions
  • 4-in-10 energy organizations report cutting operational expenses (OPEX) by more than 10%
  • An estimated reduction of $200-$400 billion in capital expenditure (CAPEX) is expected based on pre-COVID estimates of total energy CAPEX $1.8 trillion and the Council survey findings
  1. 80% of organizations are making significant reallocation in investments towards digitalization, R&D programs and Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) activities.

The Council is working with all major players across the energy world to test and design exit strategies that help manage progress in global energy transition for the benefit of all. These global surveys have informed the development of a set of four plausible post-crisis scenarios that describe alternative pathways for the global energy transition.

Dr. Angela Wilkinson, Secretary General & CEO, World Energy Council, comments: “The COVID-19 crisis is triggering the greatest financial capital re-allocation in history. No-one can predict the future. Only by convening informed and diverse viewpoints can the energy world help avoid the next global crisis and better prepare for the new normal. Now is the moment to shape a future of better energy for everyone and the environment.”

The future of energy after COVID-19 was discussed during an online conference on 17 June, marking the launch of the Road to Congress 2022 online event series. Alexander Novak, Minister of Energy of the Russian Federation General and Dr Angela Wilkinson, the Secretary-General and CEO of the World Energy Council,  were joined by leading experts in the energy sector to discuss their vision of the transition to a ‘new normal’ after the crisis. A recording of the full TV broadcast event is available to VIEW HERE.

 

 

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