Conifex Announces Third Quarter 2020 Results

November 12, 2020

By: The Working Forest Staff

VANCOUVER, British Columbia, GLOBE NEWSWIRE — Conifex Timber Inc has reported results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2020. Adjusted EBITDA* from continuing operations was $7.6 million for the quarter, which reflected the restart and ramp-up of Mackenzie sawmill operations, significantly higher lumber prices and continued positive results from bioenergy operations.

“Benefitting from improved lumber prices and the safe restart of our sawmill complex, we are pleased to report net income of $2.0 million during the quarter,” said Ken Shields, CEO. “Despite expectations for lower lumber prices and higher log costs, seasonally higher power prices coupled with the lumber production momentum we have underway are expected to enable us to report a further increase net income in the closing quarter of 2020.”

Selected Financial Highlights

Continuing operations for the comparative periods discussed in this MD&A primarily comprise operating results from our Mackenzie sawmill, power plant and our previously owned sawmill in Fort St. James, British Columbia, which was largely curtailed in May 2019 and sold in November 2019.

Operating and financial results in the second quarter of 2020 were materially impacted by the curtailment of our Mackenzie sawmill for most of the quarter, extending from April 6 to July 6, 2020.

Consolidated Net Earnings
During the third quarter of 2020, we generated net income from continuing operations of $2.0 million, or $0.04 per share, compared to a net loss from continuing operations of $2.7 million or $0.05 per share in the previous quarter and a loss of $11.6 million or $0.25 per share in the third quarter of 2019.

Continuing Operations
Our revenues totaled $37.6 million in the third quarter of 2020, an increase of 248% from the prior quarter and an increase of 64% from the third quarter of 2019. The higher revenues were attributable to the restart and ramp-up of operations at our Mackenzie sawmill during the third quarter of 2020, following a 13-week curtailment in the prior quarter and significantly higher lumber prices. Revenues from the third quarter of 2019 included sales from our previously owned Fort St. James sawmill, which we sold in November 2019.

We recorded operating income of $7.0 million in the third quarter of 2020, operating losses of $1.4 million in the previous quarter and operating losses of $8.6 million in the third quarter of 2019. Operating results included countervailing (“CV”) and anti-dumping (“AD”) duties expense of $3.7 million in the third quarter of 2020, $0.2 million in the second quarter of 2020 and $1.3 million in the third quarter of 2019.

Selling, general and administrative (“SG&A”) costs of $1.8 million in the third quarter of 2020 reflected a decrease of 4% from the prior quarter and a decrease of 39% from the third quarter of last year. Compared to the third quarter of 2019, we significantly reduced SG&A costs by reducing management personnel and overhead costs to better align our corporate support functions with our operating footprint. We incurred restructuring costs of $2.0 million in the first half of 2020 in relation to these cost reduction initiatives.

Finance costs were $1.2 million in the third quarter of 2020, $1.2 million in the previous quarter, and $7.0 million in the third quarter of 2019. Interest and finance costs were lower than in the third quarter of 2019 due to the repayment of the Lumber Credit Facility on February 1, 2020. Finance and interest costs subsequent to February 1, 2020, relate primarily to the Power Term Loan.

Adjusted EBITDA was $7.6 million in the third quarter of 2020, negative $1.1 million in the previous quarter, and negative $7.0 million in the third quarter of 2019. Adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter of 2020 benefited from the restart and ramp-up of Mackenzie sawmill operations, significantly higher lumber prices, continued positive results from bioenergy operations, offset partially by derivative losses of $2.6 million.

Lumber Operations

Following the initial adverse economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, North American lumber markets improved significantly during the third quarter of 2020. US housing starts on a seasonally adjusted annual basis averaged 1,430,000 in the third quarter of 2020, up 37% from the previous quarter and 12% from the third quarter of 2019. The increase in lumber demand, coupled with the impact of supply disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic earlier in 2020, resulted in a significant increase to the benchmark Western SPF lumber price during the quarter to a record price of US$955 per thousand board feet in September 2020.

The US dollar averaged US$0.751 for each Canadian dollar during the third quarter of 2020, a level that represented a strengthening of the Canadian dollar over the previous quarter.1 Canadian dollar-denominated benchmark Western SPF prices, which averaged $1,023 in the third quarter of 2020, increased by 107% or $529 from the previous quarter and by 117% or $553 from the third quarter of 2019.

Our lumber operating results in the third quarter of 2020 reflect the restart of operations at our Mackenzie sawmill on July 6, 2020, followed by the gradual ramp-up to normalized operating levels during the quarter. Lumber production for the current quarter totaled 48.0 million board feet, representing an annualized operating rate of 80% of capacity. In the previous quarter, 2.4 million board feet of lumber was produced during the single-week of operations prior to the 13-week curtailment period from April 6 to July 6, 2020. In the third quarter of 2019, 26.0 million board feet of lumber was produced as a result of reduced daily operating configuration and the incurrence of a five-week curtailment during the quarter.

Shipments of Conifex produced lumber totaled 39.2 million board feet in the third quarter of 2020. Shipments of lumber increased by 361% from the previous quarter and by 13% from the third quarter of 2019 as a result of increased production volumes, offset partially by an increase in inventory from the previous quarter. Our wholesale lumber program shipped 0.7 million board feet in the third quarter of 2020.

Revenues from lumber products were $31.2 million in the third quarter of 2020 and represented an increase of 429% from the previous quarter and an increase of 90% from the third quarter of 2019. Increased revenues were driven by higher shipment volumes and higher mill net realizations in the current quarter. Our lumber is typically sold 2-4 weeks in advance of its shipment date, resulting in a lag in our realized lumber prices when compared to concurrent reported lumber prices. As a result, a portion of the significant lumber price increase during September 2020 will be realized in the fourth quarter of 2020.

Overall operating costs in the third quarter of 2020 increased from prior quarters, driven by the restart of full operations at our Mackenzie sawmill. Cost of goods sold in the third quarter of 2019 included costs from previously owned sawmill in Fort St. James. We accessed the Canada Emergency Wage Subsidy established by the federal government for approximately $1.6 million of employee wage cost subsidies during the third quarter of 2020.

We recorded a positive inventory valuation adjustment of $1.6 million in the third quarter of 2020 compared to $0.4 million in the previous quarter and $0.5 million in the third quarter of 2019.

We expensed CV and AD duty deposits of $3.7 million in the third quarter of 2020, $0.2 million in the previous quarter and $1.3 million in the third quarter of 2019. The duty deposits were based on a combined rate of 20.23%.

Bioenergy Operations

Our Mackenzie power plant sold 54.9 gigawatt hours of electricity under our Electricity Purchase Agreement (“EPA“) with BC Hydro and Power Authority (“BC Hydro“) in the third quarter of 2020, representing approximately 99% of targeted operating rates.

The effective power rate is highest during the first and fourth quarters of each year. Electricity production contributed revenues of $6.0 million in the third quarter of 2020, an increase of 27% from the previous quarter and an increase of 16% over the comparable quarter of 2019. In comparison to the third quarter of 2019, revenues were higher in the current quarter primarily due to a 3% increase in electricity production in the period and a higher electricity rate received for the dispatch period of 2020.

Our EPA with BC Hydro, similar to other electricity purchase agreements, provides BC Hydro with the option to “turn down” electricity purchased from us during periods of low demand by issuing a “dispatch order”. BC Hydro issued a dispatch order for a period of approximately 117 days, from April 24 to August 19, 2020. In 2019, our power plant was dispatched for 114 days, commencing in early May to August 31, 2019. We continue to be paid revenues under the EPA based upon a reduced rate and on volumes that are generally reflective of contracted amounts. During any dispatch period, we continue to produce electricity to fulfill volume commitments under our Load Displacement Agreement with BC Hydro.

Gain or Loss on Derivative Financial Instruments

Gains or losses on lumber derivative instruments are recognized as they are settled or as they are marked to market for each reporting period. Conifex does not presently use derivatives for trading or speculative purposes. In the previous quarter, we entered into lumber futures contracts for downside price protection purposes on a small percentage of our estimated second-half 2020 production. Due to lumber market conditions characterized by rapidly rising prices from June to September of 2020, we recorded a loss from lumber derivative instruments of $2.6 million in the third quarter of 2020 and $0.7 million in the previous quarter. These futures contracts have been closed and there were no outstanding futures contracts in place as at September 30, 2020.

Financial Position and Liquidity

The overall debt was $64.8 million at September 30, 2020 compared to $257.2 million at December 31, 2019. The net reduction of $192.4 million in debt comprised repayment in full of our previous Lumber Credit Facility of $189.4 million, lease repayments of $1.1 million and Power Term Loan payments of $1.9 million. Our Power Term Loan, which is largely non-recourse to our lumber operations, represents substantially all of our outstanding long-term debt. At September 30, 2020, we had $61.4 million outstanding on our Power Term Loan, while our remaining long-term debt, consisting of leases, was $3.4 million.

On September 30, 2020, we had total liquidity of $6.4 million, compared to $5.2 million at December 31, 2019 and $8.0 million at September 30, 2019. Liquidity at September 30, 2020, was comprised of unrestricted cash of $6.4 million.

Like other Canadian lumber producers, we were required to begin depositing cash on account of softwood lumber duties imposed by the United States government in April 2017. Cumulative duties of US$6.8 million paid by the Company, net of sales of the right to refunds, since the inception of the current trade dispute remain held in trust by the US pending the administrative reviews and conclusion of all appeals of US decisions. We expect future cash flow will continue to be adversely impacted by the CV and AD duty deposits to the extent additional costs on US destined shipments are not mitigated by higher lumber prices.

On October 13, 2020, we completed a $10.0 million secured revolving credit facility with Wells Fargo Capital Finance Corporation Canada (the “Revolving Credit Facility”). The Revolving Credit Facility is available for a term of 3 years and is substantially secured by Conifex’s lumber inventory, equipment, and accounts receivable. Assuming the availability of our Revolving Credit Facility, as of September 30, 2020, our liquidity would have been $16.4 million.

Outlook

Following the restart and ramp-up of our Mackenzie sawmill operations in the third quarter, we expect that we will achieve annualized operating rates of approximately 90% in the fourth quarter of 2020. We expect lumber markets to remain strong, despite recent volatility, supported by robust demand from US housing starts and continued strength in the repair and remodeling sector. Our Mackenzie power plant is forecasted to operate at full capacity in the fourth quarter and continue to generate a steady and diversified source of cash flow in the upcoming seasonal high period of revenue under the EPA.

Our liquidity has been strengthened with the addition of the new Revolving Credit Facility and we are positioned to manage further market volatility that may arise in the coming months.

 

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